Not a low capacity solution. Studies in Portugal have found that shared rides would cut VMTs in half and when those are all EVs that’s a tremendous reduction in GHGs. The same study found shared shuttles would virtually eliminate traffic congestion which, when you think about it, makes all lanes Express Lanes. I know "Portugal =/= LA" but please consider that the McKinsey consulting firm, a US company, came to the same conclusion.
Simply said we have the capacity because we have the freeways and streets. Instead of demonizing and politicizing them let’s use them to address our climate challenges.
Inspired by Nipsey Hussle, they’re trying to ‘buy back’ South LA
Whenever I read a South LA/Inglewood gentrification article I think to myself, "Is an NFL stadium really something people want to live near?" and, "Do Angelenos, or any prospective buyers, actually care enough about access to a train for them to relocate because of it?" Personally, I’ve lived near a stadium and it wasn’t great. If stadiums were gentrification catalysts then all of University Park (area around the Coliseum) would have been gentrified by now. Also, if trains were gentrification catalysts then all of south LA around the Blue line would have been gentrified by now. I just don’t see it. If anything, Latinos have gentrified Black americans out of South LA.
I totally feel you, I don’t have unrealistic expectations either – I consider myself pragmatic and not politically idealistic. It’s just a really tough pill to swallow after writing a huge check last month to the city of LA for property taxes and see zero progress on the cause of most of the cities problems We don’t need to fix "everything" just one thing – the homeless issue and start considering the victims as the people that write the huge checks to keep this city going and not only think of the victims as the people who chose drugs, alcohol, and vagrancy as their way of life.
I just listened and Harry’s guest sounded like someone trying to sell a book. Nothing new about Uber that we didn’t already know. I’m no fan boy, believe me, and know their business is not sustainable. I’m not a micro-transportation fan either; e-scooters, bikes and the like are only good for the last mile, for a small segment of the population and only in a certain communities. I love high-speed mass-transit in the form of an Express, connecting far away points as quickly as possible, but that requires massive public investment, has the last mile to deal with and now in LA we have other problems with it.
What I want are private, shared electric taxis in, for now, dedicated lanes. The best pilot program I can think of is to gradually turn over the Silver Line BRT on the Harbor Freeway to someone like Waymo. Start replacing dirty CNG Metro buses with clean, electric shuttles. Until the AV tech is good enough have a "back-up" driver on board. The aim would be to pick up people "on demand", and more frequently than the Silver Line currently does, using the Silver Line stops and dedicated on/off-ramps.
These shuttles would start and stop where the Silver Line does but also go maybe 4 stops further on the city streets, to pick up more passengers with the goal of doubling or tripling the ridership, reducing parked cars at the stations and providing service until even late at night. The fare would be the same or slightly higher. (Uber helped the industry figure out what the demand would be for something cheaper than a taxi, but more than a bus, that was available around the clock. We can all agree that demand is enormous).
I don’t know how many Silver Line buses there are but to fully replace them we will need maybe 6x as many of the smaller electric shuttles, to handle the peaks, and those would probably start off as conventional minivans. Minivans seat 7 passengers max and not very comfortably because the back-row of seats is hard to get into. Down the road these would be replaced with 6-door, 9-seater purpose-built electric vehicles that could be privately owned and maintained, like many taxis are around the world.
Waymo could pattern it after their taxi fleet in Phoenix where you have to sign-up to participate in the pilot program. At first there will be a driver in the car. Then, as the software is validated, transition over to driverless like Waymo did a few months ago in Phoenix.
I suppose RFPs could also go out to Tesla and GM but probably not to Uber. I think they are sleazy for a differnt reason than you. I don’t like how they stole AV secrets from Waymo/Google.
The winner would pay Metro whatever it was going to make off the Silver Line Bus and any revenue after that, from increased ridership, would go to the mobility provider. Their costs would be lower than what the Metro bus had from there being no driver, no CNG fuel to buy and less maintenance. Better matching of the supply of vehicles to the actual demand throughout the day would further reduce costs.
There is nothing new to build in terms of lanes and we don’t need Level 5 AVs to launch the pilot. You could have it up and running in a year and then decide, based on demand and safety, where to roll it out next.
Compared to what you would find in New York City at this price, these places are palaces. At least in LA you do have the option of living in your car though which I think I would prefer over the selection offered here.
YIMBYs, when it comes to housing: "Deregulate and let the free-market to do its job!"
YIMBYs, when it comes to transportation: "The problem is letting people choose how they want to get around. We must force everyone to use pubic transportation and tax the shit out of people who don’t!"
10,000 developers turned loose in LA won’t make any serious mistakes but let the 4 or 5 leading tech companies in the world have a shot at mass-transit and people are going to die. Okayyyyyyyy…..
Maybe in a place that is not LA
Step 1: Don’t matter if the buses have their own lane or highway – if they are filled with drug addicts that are high out of their minds and have not bathed in weeks no one will use the busses.
Step 2: Impossible, those rest rooms will be monopolized as places to shoot up heroin and for sex workers to turn tricks.
Step one needs to be to rid the city of the political mess that has enabled LA to become a tent city full of people with no self respect or respect for others. Clean up the streets before we try and tell people to ditch the safety of their cars. Once we clean up the streets then we can try some novel ideas like this.