In 2009, a couple of UCLA geographers and a class of undergrads created a probabilistic model that said "there was an 88.9% chance that bin Laden was hiding out in a city less than 300 km from his last known location in Tora Bora: a region that included Abbottabad, Pakistan, where he was killed," according to Science Insider. However, they ended up predicting he was in a house (with ceilings high enough for a 6'4" man) in the Pakistani border town Parachinar. [Science Insider, image via]
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